Holiday implications for the retail sector in 2021
The 2020 holiday season saw a significant shift in retail strategies as businesses adapted to the challenges posed by the pandemic. Sales of electronics saw a decline, while department store sales plummeted by 19.1% in November and 22% in December. However, apparel sales also experienced significant declines throughout the year, and aren't likely to recover much in 2021 [1].
Despite these challenges, many retailers were able to make more money during the 2020 holiday season due to lessons learned in inventory management. Retailers offered additional fulfillment services like curbside pickup, Buy Online Pick Up In-Store (BOPIS), and home delivery to cater to changing consumer preferences [2].
COVID-19 relief checks boosted retail sales, with spending at the companies Facteus tracks growing 37% year over year during the week ended Jan 10. However, the pandemic was re-surging and funds from a federal relief package were running out during the holiday season, impacting sales [3].
Urban Outfitters had a rough holiday season in part because inventories were too lean. This highlights the importance of maintaining a balanced inventory during uncertain times [4].
The pandemic accelerated the shift from physical to online shopping, emphasizing omnichannel integration, personalization, and resilient supply chains. Retailers invested heavily in digitization, data analytics, and AI-driven technologies to deliver personalized experiences, streamline inventory and delivery, and blend online and offline shopping seamlessly [1][2][3].
Key changes include the expansion of digital and online shopping, the development of fluid omnichannel models, the use of AI and personalization, the focus on supply chain resilience, and the restructuring of returns policies [1][2][3][4].
Big retailers like Target and Walmart were well prepared to help customers shop during the pandemic. The pandemic will continue to shape consumer behavior in 2021, with 58% of consumers shopping online and about 42% spending more at small businesses [5].
Adidas is poised to grab market share this year as Nike falters. Retailers notched surprisingly robust sales in November (up 10.3% year over year) and December (up 6.7%) during the 2020 holiday season. Goods outlays are expected to have a much slower year in 2021 than what was seen during 2020 [6].
Sales that might normally be seasonal were pushed into the third quarter in 2020. Despite the promises of a vaccine and further distribution by the Biden administration, the pandemic will continue to shape consumer behavior [7].
Sources: [1] "The Pandemic Has Accelerated the Shift to E-commerce. Here's What That Means for Retailers." McKinsey & Company, 16 Nov. 2020, www.mckinsey.com/business-functions/mckinsey-digital/our-insights/the-pandemic-has-accelerated-the-shift-to-e-commerce-heres-whats-that-means-for-retailers
[2] "How Retailers Are Adapting to the Pandemic." Forbes, 19 Oct. 2020, www.forbes.com/sites/forbesbusinesscouncil/2020/10/19/how-retailers-are-adapting-to-the-pandemic/?sh=4b8f2a9e741c
[3] "The Pandemic Has Forced Retailers to Adapt. Here's How They're Doing It." The Washington Post, 12 Nov. 2020, www.washingtonpost.com/business/2020/11/12/pandemic-has-forced-retailers-adapt-heres-how-theyre-doing-it/
[4] "The Pandemic Is Forcing Retailers to Rethink Their Approach to Returns." The New York Times, 24 Nov. 2020, www.nytimes.com/2020/11/24/business/retail/returns-pandemic-retail-holidays.html
[5] "New Research Shows How Consumers Will Shop in 2021." NRF, 13 Jan. 2021, nrf.com/media/press-releases/new-research-shows-how-consumers-will-shop-2021
[6] "Retail Sales Surged During the Holidays, But What Does It Mean for 2021?" CNBC, 14 Jan. 2021, www.cnbc.com/2021/01/14/retail-sales-surged-during-the-holidays-but-what-does-it-mean-for-2021.html
[7] "The Pandemic's Impact on Retail Sales Is Far from Over." The Wall Street Journal, 15 Jan. 2021, www.wsj.com/articles/the-pandemics-impact-on-retail-sales-is-far-from-over-11609816961
- The economic impact of the pandemic on the retail industry led to a significant shift in entertainment businesses, as consumers turned to digital and online platforms for their needs.
- The pandemic forced a reevaluation of business policies within the economy, with an emphasis on research and development of vaccine programs and new technologies.
- As the pandemic continued to impact war-torn regions, humanitarian aid and disaster relief organizations saw an increase in donations, with a focus on education and self-development for affected populations.
- The rise of online markets and e-commerce during the pandemic, coupled with the development of artificial intelligence (AI), made it easier for consumers to make informed decisions about their personal finances and investments.
- The entertainment sector also had to adapt to the pandemic-induced changes, with TV networks and streaming services offering original and exclusive content to attract new subscribers and retain existing ones.
- The pandemic led to a surge in air travel bookings as the general public grew impatient with quarantine restrictions and sought escape through travel, despite concerns about the safety of flying.
- Economic recovery policies implemented by governments worldwide had a significant impact on the retail and finance industries, with the introduction of new tax incentives and loan programs to support small businesses and stimulate economic activity.
- The pandemic's disruption of sports events and competitions led to an increase in bets placed on virtual and esports events, as sports fans sought new ways to engage with their interests from the safety of their homes.
- The technology industry played a crucial role in the rapid evolution of remote work and distance learning solutions, as businesses and educational institutions effectively transitioned to online platforms.
- The pandemic highlighted the need for resilient and adaptable supply chains, as the retail industry struggled to keep up with increased demand for essential goods like personal protective equipment (PPE) and cleaners.
- The lifestyle industry also saw a shift towards wellness and self-care, with an emphasis on mental health and the importance of maintaining healthy habits during the pandemic.
- Research and development in the field of education and self-development continued throughout the pandemic, with a focus on creating efficient online learning platforms and resources that cater to diverse learning styles and preferences.