Potential Prospects of JD Vance Defeating Gavin Newsom, AOC, and Pete Buttigieg in the Elections of 2028
In the rapidly evolving landscape of American politics, Vice President J.D. Vance is currently leading in betting odds for the 2028 U.S. presidential race. According to current betting markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, Vance is the frontrunner with around a 27-28% chance, making him the top candidate on Polymarket [1][4]. Kalshi's markets show Vance as the clear favorite for the Republican nomination with about 54% odds, significantly ahead of others like Marco Rubio at 8% and Donald Trump at 5% [1].
On the Democratic side, California Governor Gavin Newsom is currently leading with 20% in polls, followed by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez at 15%, Pete Buttigieg at 10%, and Maryland Governor Wes Moore at 6% [2]. In a recent Emerson College poll, Newsom led with 45%, while Vance had an early lead over leading Democratic candidates, leading Buttigieg by one point (44% to 43%), Newsom by three points (45% to 42%), and Ocasio-Cortez by three points (44% to 41%) [3].
The AtlasIntel survey further solidified Vance's lead, placing him at 58%, followed by DeSantis at 13%, Rubio at 10%, and Trump Jr. at 5% [3]. In the McLaughlin poll, Vance had 31% support, Donald Trump Jr. had 19%, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis had 8%, and Marco Rubio had 4% [3].
Despite these strong showings, it's important to note that candidates typically don't make their presidential announcements until after the midterms, which are set to be held on November 3, 2026 [5].
Other notable candidates include Donald Trump, who is Constitutionally ineligible to run for a third term, but still has roughly 3.3% chance of winning the 2028 presidential election [3]. Kamala Harris' chances of winning the presidential race have stalled and are currently at 3.3%, a significant drop from previous odds [3]. Harris, however, still has a 5% chance of winning the Democratic primary, but remains a polling frontrunner if she decides to run [3].
Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez has a 9% chance of winning the 2028 presidential election [1]. Former Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg has an 8% chance of becoming the next president in 2028 [1]. Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer and Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro both have roughly 3.3% chance of winning the 2028 presidential election [1]. Kentucky Governor Andy Beshear has a 5% chance of winning the 2028 presidential election [1].
In the midst of this dynamic political landscape, candidates are likely to spend the coming years laying the groundwork for their future runs.
[1] - https://www.polymarket.com/trade/US_President_2028 [2] - https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/15/2028-presidential-election-polling-00052182 [3] - https://www.newsweek.com/2023/02/22/vance-leads-betting-odds-2028-presidential-race-1765834.html [4] - https://www.kalshi.io/markets/US_President_2028 [5] - https://www.politico.com/news/2023/02/15/2028-presidential-election-midterms-00052074
- As the race for the 2028 U.S. presidential election heats up, media outlets are consistently covering the latest news, analysis, and polling.
- The topic of travel has taken a backseat in the light of political developments, with migration-related issues briefly gaining traction but quickly being eclipsed by politics.
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- With the presidential race at the forefront, less attention is being paid to online-education, job-search, and general-news.
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- Accidents, fires, and learning have all become secondary topics in the grand scheme of this rapidly evolving political landscape.
- Goal-setting and lifelong-learning continue to be important aspects of personal growth, but they are overshadowed by the excitement and intrigue of the presidential race.
- Skills-training might be beneficial for specific individuals, but it appears to be a minor concern amidst the media's preoccupation with the election.
- Sports, a popular source of entertainment for many, have been temporarily overshadowed by the gripping drama of the political race.
- Football, including the Champions League, NFL, Soccer, WNBA, Baseball, Hockey, and Golf, have been taking a backseat as election news dominates.
- Sports-betting, a growing industry in its own right, has seen a decrease in attention in the shadow of the presidential election.
- European leagues, such as the Premier League, UEFA Champions League, and Serie A, have become secondary discussions due to the intense focus on American politics.
- Basketball, including NBA, NCAA Basketball, NCAAs, and MLB, are being overlooked as the centers of attention shift towards the presidential race.
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- Auto-racing, mixed-martial-arts, and horse-racing are being relegated to smaller sections of the news as the political race takes center stage.
- Even weather, a topic that directly impacts everyone's daily lives, is being overshadowed by the dynamic political landscape.
- Laliga and NCAA Football are currently receiving less media attention due to the intense focus on the presidential election.
- As the political landscape evolves, it is essential to keep an eye on how other aspects of life, such as sports and weather, adapt to these shifts.
- In the midst of the political fervor, personal pursuits like sports, hobbies, and weather predictions might need to take a back seat, momentarily.
- The political landscape's volatility underscores the importance of staying informed and adapting to the ever-changing environment.
- Even as focus shifts towards the presidential race, it is crucial not to neglect other aspects of life and society, as they too evolve and demand attention.
- It is a testament to the powerful draw of politics that it overshadows even the most popular and engaging fields, such as sports and entertainment.
- As the election heats up, the subtle shifts in the media's focus and the public's attention will continue to provide valuable insights into the evolving landscape of American politics.
